Great Expectations

When it comes to the so-called "experts" and predicting anything (weather, unemployment figures, sales numbers, or any other indicators), the only consistent outcome is an unexpected one. 

"New claims for unemployment insurance rose by 11,000 last week, more than economists had expected."

So, the next time a prediction comes down the pike from the exalted experts, do what I do:  predict the opposite and take a shot everytime your figures are closer to reality than theirs - you're gonna need the 1.75L bottle.